MOIRAI employs a comprehensive methodological approach for its Vulnerability and Resilience Assessment Framework (VRAF), integrating both top-down and bottom-up strategies. Leveraging improved regional ocean models and use-case-specific knowledge, it identifies risks and impacts feeding its understanding of the 3-D vulnerability.
The 3R resilience framework (Resist, Respond, Recover) will be adapted and calibrated based on initial stakeholder mapping and engagement and alongside the enhancement of regional biogeochemical and ecosystem models for coastal services. MOIRAI also contributes to developing and calibrating two new resilience management contexts (RMC) with additional metrics and variables. The first addresses extreme events like flooding and surges, it will be fed by output from refined models and from coastal model impact and risk assessment, addressing the prediction and impact of these events. Such RMC will serve as the basis for the REASSHORE sub-module on extreme events and its indicators dashboard destined to decision-makers. The second RMC fisheries and aquaculture and the services they provide to coastal communities, as well as the cumulative effects of marine heat waves on both. Input data will be taken from the model refinement work and completed by the development of an AI-based early warning system, later integrated into REASSHORE. MOIRAI’s context-specific, replicable, vulnerability and resilience assessment framework paves the way for tailored on demand coastal ocean climate services.